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Internacional Podgorica vs Rudar — Second League 2021

Internacional Podgorica
Internacional Podgorica
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Rudar
Rudar
D. Mujovic 84'
3/4/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 21Pomocni teren FK Sutjeska

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Internacional Podgorica31%
×Draw25%
Rudar43%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Internacional Podgorica
1.23
Rudar
1.50

Rudar creates 22% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 35 away

creates per match

Internacional Podgorica
1.00
Rudar
1.29

allows per match

Internacional Podgorica
1.72
Rudar
1.46

finishing

Internacional Podgorica+0.00on par
Rudar+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Internacional Podgorica ↓

Rudar →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Internacional Podgorica or draw
57%
Internacional Podgorica or Rudar
75%
Draw or Rudar
69%

Winning margin

Internacional Podgorica wins by 2+
13%
Rudar wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Internacional Podgorica 1+ goals
71%
Internacional Podgorica 2+ goals
35%
Internacional Podgorica 3+ goals
13%
Rudar 1+ goals
78%
Rudar 2+ goals
44%
Rudar 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Internacional Podgorica (draw refunded)
42%
Rudar (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Internacional Podgorica at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.72 · 36 matches

Rudar away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.46 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Internacional Podgorica attack 1.00 + Rudar defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.23

Rudar attack 1.29 + Internacional Podgorica defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Internacional Podgorica scores more
31%
level
25%
Rudar scores more
43%

Rudar at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Rudar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

84'
D. Mujovic

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Internacional Podgorica vs Rudar

Internacional Podgorica beat Rudar 1-0 in Second League on March 4, 2026.

Goals: D. Mujovic (84').

The match was played at Pomocni teren FK Sutjeska.