Inter Turku II 3–5 JJK: Result & Stats | Ykkönen

Inter Turku II

FT

3 – 5

HT: 1 – 1

JJK

R. Mendolin 90'

P. Otoo 51'

E. Hajdini 15'

A. Aaltonen 80', 47', 42'

A. Ciriaco 61'

K. Rintamaki 49'

4/5/2026

Ykkönen · Group StageVeritas Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Inter Turku II49%

×Draw22%

JJK29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Inter Turku IIExpected goals in this matchJJK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.00

1.50

Inter Turku II

2.00

JJK

1.50

Inter Turku II creates 33% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 65 away

2.00

creates per match

1.14

1.86

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Inter Turku II

2.00

JJK

1.14

allows per match

Inter Turku II

1.86

JJK

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Inter Turku II+0.00on par

JJK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Inter Turku II ↓

JJK →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Inter Turku II or draw

71%

Inter Turku II or JJK

78%

Draw or JJK

51%

Winning margin

Inter Turku II wins by 2+

28%

JJK wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Inter Turku II 1+ goals

86%

Inter Turku II 2+ goals

59%

Inter Turku II 3+ goals

32%

JJK 1+ goals

78%

JJK 2+ goals

44%

JJK 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Inter Turku II (draw refunded)

63%

JJK (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Inter Turku II at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.86 · 22 matches

JJK away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.00 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Inter Turku II attack 2.00 + JJK defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.00

JJK attack 1.14 + Inter Turku II defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Inter Turku II scores more

49%

level

22%

JJK scores more

29%

Inter Turku II at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Inter Turku II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'

15'

42'

47'

49'

51'

61'

64'

J. Heimonen← A. Ciriaco

66'

N. Kopperoinen← E. Hajdini

66'

R. Mendolin← V. Huovila

66'

O. Repo← P. Otoo

71'

M. Jaskari← A. Sandler

78'

P. Aalto← N. Meltoranta

80'

A. Aaltonen

81'

P. U. Imonioro← S. Osso

81'

B. Traore← M. Lundell

84'

N. Patjas← A. Aaltonen

90'

R. Mendolin

Inter

JJK

1

Vetri

3

Akdogan

4

Kangasnie

5

▼

Osso

6

⚽

▼

8

9

10

26

▼

Lundell

35

⚽3

▼

Aaltonen

72

⚽

Rintamaki

61

Kulmala

37

Suotunen

42

⚽

▼

Hajdini

43

▼

Huovila

46

▼

48

50

52

53

59

▼

Sandler

66

⚽

▼

Otoo

Manager: Jussi-Pekka Savolainen

66'▲N. Kopperoinen←▼E. Hajdini

66'▲R. Mendolin←▼V. Huovila

66'▲O. Repo←▼P. Otoo

71'▲M. Jaskari←▼A. Sandler

78'▲P. Aalto←▼N. Meltoranta

Inter Turku II substitutes

60Hoglund40Kopperoinen41Aalto44Tahkola54Mendolin55Jaskari7Repo

Manager: Brian Page

64'▲J. Heimonen←▼A. Ciriaco

81'▲P. U. Imonioro←▼S. Osso

81'▲B. Traore←▼M. Lundell

84'▲N. Patjas←▼A. Aaltonen

JJK substitutes

30Oikarinen16Patjas17Imonioro18Tuppurainen24Liimatainen27Traore29Viren52Heimonen

Match Recap: Inter Turku II vs JJK

JJK beat Inter Turku II 5-3 in Ykkönen on April 5, 2026.

Goals: E. Hajdini (15'), A. Aaltonen (42', 47', 80'), K. Rintamaki (49'), P. Otoo (51'), A. Ciriaco (61'), R. Mendolin (90').

The match was played at Veritas Stadion in Turku.

Inter Turku II vs JJK — Ykkönen 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Inter Turku II vs JJK