Inter Lions vs Rydalmere Lions — New South Wales NPL 2 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 56+ matches
Inter Lions44%
Rydalmere Lions33%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Inter Lions creates 16% more chances
Season form · 56 home / 56 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over66
- Under34
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes67
- No33
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Inter Lions ↓
Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Inter Lions at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.59 · 56 matches
Rydalmere Lions away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.98 · 56 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Inter Lions attack 1.70 + Rydalmere Lions defence 1.98 → ÷2 → 1.84
Rydalmere Lions attack 1.57 + Inter Lions defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.58
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 44%?"
Inter Lions at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 44% does not mean "Inter Lions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
UNSW
SD Raiders
Blacktown SpartansRydalmere Lions
Newcastle Jets II
Northern TigersInter Lions
Bulls Academy
Hills Brumbies
Bankstown City Lions
Hakoah Sydney City
Canterbury Bankstown
Dulwich Hill
Macarthur Rams
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Mounties WanderersIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Inter Lions host Rydalmere Lions on Saturday, 18 July 2026 at 07:00. The match is part of the New South Wales NPL 2 2026/2027 season.
Preview: Inter Lions host Rydalmere Lions
July 18, 2026: Inter Lions take on Rydalmere Lions in New South Wales NPL 2. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Inter Lions host Rydalmere Lions at Majors Bay Reserve.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.