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Instituto Cordoba vs Talleres Cordoba — League #1032 2026

Instituto Cordoba
Instituto Cordoba
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Talleres Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
2/12/2024League #1032League #1032 · 1st Phase - 4Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Instituto Cordoba36%
×Draw26%
Talleres Cordoba38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Instituto Cordoba
1.29
Talleres Cordoba
1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

Instituto Cordoba
1.25
Talleres Cordoba
1.67

allows per match

Instituto Cordoba
1.00
Talleres Cordoba
1.33

finishing

Instituto Cordoba+0.00on par
Talleres Cordoba+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Instituto Cordoba ↓

Talleres Cordoba →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Instituto Cordoba or draw
62%
Instituto Cordoba or Talleres Cordoba
74%
Draw or Talleres Cordoba
64%

Winning margin

Instituto Cordoba wins by 2+
16%
Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Instituto Cordoba 1+ goals
72%
Instituto Cordoba 2+ goals
37%
Instituto Cordoba 3+ goals
14%
Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals
74%
Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals
38%
Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Instituto Cordoba (draw refunded)
49%
Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Instituto Cordoba at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

Talleres Cordoba away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Instituto Cordoba attack 1.25 + Talleres Cordoba defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.29

Talleres Cordoba attack 1.67 + Instituto Cordoba defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Instituto Cordoba scores more
36%
level
26%
Talleres Cordoba scores more
38%

Talleres Cordoba at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #1032: Instituto Cordoba 2–2 Talleres Cordoba

Instituto Cordoba and Talleres Cordoba drew 2-2 in League #1032 on February 12, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba.