IF Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby FF — Allsvenskan 2026
Hammarby FF have won 7 of the last 9 meetings
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 6+ matches
IF Brommapojkarna31%Hammarby FF43%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Hammarby FF creates 22% more chances
Season form · 6 home / 9 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under51
- Over49
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes53
- No47
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
IF Brommapojkarna ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
IF Brommapojkarna at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.88 · 6 matches
Hammarby FF away — creates 1.01, concedes 0.98 · 9 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.38 + Hammarby FF defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.18
Hammarby FF attack 1.01 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.44
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 43%?"
Hammarby FF at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 43% does not mean "Hammarby FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Hammarby FF outscore their xG (2.0 vs 1.2 expected)
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Style Matchup
Contrasting stylesHead-to-head
9 previous meetings
Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
AIK Stockholm
IFK Norrkoping
Malmo FFHammarby FF
BK Hacken
Ostersunds FK
Djurgardens IF
GIF Sundsvall
Orebro SK
Kalmar FF
IFK Goteborg
IF Elfsborg
SiriusIF Brommapojkarna
Dalkurd FFIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
IF Brommapojkarna host Hammarby FF on Sunday, 26 July 2026 at 12:00. The match is part of the Allsvenskan 2026/2027 season.
Preview: IF Brommapojkarna host Hammarby FF
July 26, 2026: IF Brommapojkarna take on Hammarby FF in Allsvenskan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
IF Brommapojkarna host Hammarby FF at Grimsta IP.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.