Hungary U19 4–2 Slovakia U19: Result & Stats

Hungary U19

FT

4 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Slovakia U19

M. Szep 74'

K. Mondovics 62', 13'

S. Bodnar 56'

S. Kovacik 88'

K. Blasko 6'

3/31/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Elite Round - 1Real Cosenza

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Hungary U1956%

×Draw22%

Slovakia U1922%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hungary U19Expected goals in this matchSlovakia U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.94

1.15

Hungary U19

1.94

Slovakia U19

1.15

Hungary U19 creates 69% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 10 away

2.19

creates per match

1.10

1.19

allows per match

1.70

creates per match

Hungary U19

2.19

Slovakia U19

1.10

allows per match

Hungary U19

1.19

Slovakia U19

1.70

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hungary U19+0.00on par

Slovakia U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hungary U19 ↓

Slovakia U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Hungary U19 or draw

78%

Hungary U19 or Slovakia U19

78%

Draw or Slovakia U19

44%

Winning margin

Hungary U19 wins by 2+

32%

Slovakia U19 wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Hungary U19 1+ goals

86%

Hungary U19 2+ goals

58%

Hungary U19 3+ goals

30%

Slovakia U19 1+ goals

68%

Slovakia U19 2+ goals

32%

Slovakia U19 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Hungary U19 (draw refunded)

71%

Slovakia U19 (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hungary U19 at home — creates 2.19, concedes 1.19 · 16 matches

Slovakia U19 away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.70 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hungary U19 attack 2.19 + Slovakia U19 defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.94

Slovakia U19 attack 1.10 + Hungary U19 defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Hungary U19 scores more

56%

level

22%

Slovakia U19 scores more

22%

Hungary U19 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Hungary U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

K. Blasko

13'

K. Mondovics↳ G. Tercza

32'

D. Balog

46'

M. Bortoli← M. Konopka

54'

A. Decsy

56'

S. Bodnar

62'

K. Mondovics↳ A. Decsy

63'

G. Ghiani← I. Egri

65'

F. Trello← K. Blasko

65'

A. Zulevic← F. Slovak

65'

P. Baleja← D. Bukovsky

68'

S. Kovacik

69'

B. Bolgar← S. Bodnar

69'

A. Somogyi← V. Vitalyos

69'

Z. Hos← H. Nemeth

74'

M. Szep↳ B. Bolgar

82'

A. Madarasz← A. Decsy

83'

L. Pristach← N. Udvaros

88'

S. Kovacik

Hungary

Slovakia

Manager: G. Jeremiás

63'▲G. Ghiani←▼I. Egri

69'▲B. Bolgar←▼S. Bodnar

69'▲A. Somogyi←▼V. Vitalyos

69'▲Z. Hos←▼H. Nemeth

82'▲A. Madarasz←▼A. Decsy

Manager: M. Fabuš

46'▲M. Bortoli←▼M. Konopka

65'▲F. Trello←▼K. Blasko

65'▲A. Zulevic←▼F. Slovak

65'▲P. Baleja←▼D. Bukovsky

83'▲L. Pristach←▼N. Udvaros

Match Recap: Hungary U19 vs Slovakia U19

Hungary U19 beat Slovakia U19 4-2 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on March 31, 2026.

Goals: K. Blasko (6'), K. Mondovics (13', 62'), S. Bodnar (56'), M. Szep (74'), S. Kovacik (88').

The match was played at Real Cosenza.

Hungary U19 vs Slovakia U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Hungary U19 vs Slovakia U19