Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Huddersfield vs Wrexham — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Wrexham
Wrexham
S. Fletcher 73'
3/4/2025League OneLeague One · Round 35John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Huddersfield36%
×Draw29%
Wrexham35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.15
Wrexham
1.13

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 51 home / 23 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.47
Wrexham
1.13

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.14
Wrexham
0.83

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Wrexham+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Wrexham →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
65%
Huddersfield or Wrexham
71%
Draw or Wrexham
64%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
15%
Wrexham wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
68%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
32%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
11%
Wrexham 1+ goals
68%
Wrexham 2+ goals
31%
Wrexham 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
51%
Wrexham (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.14 · 51 matches

Wrexham away — creates 1.13, concedes 0.83 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.47 + Wrexham defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.15

Wrexham attack 1.13 + Huddersfield defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Huddersfield scores more
36%
level
29%
Wrexham scores more
35%

Huddersfield at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21
A. EvansHuddersfieldHuddersfield · M
7.7

Match Events

22'
D. Charles← J. Koroma
46'
L. Sørensen← N. Lonwijk
49'
E. Lee← G. Dobson
68'
Max Cleworth
72'
B. Wiles← T. Chirewa
72'
J. Hogg← R. Roosken
72'
R. Barnett← R. Longman
72'
S. Fletcher← J. Rodríguez
73'
S. Fletcher
79'
J. Taylor← J. Ruffels
88'
J. Marriott← S. Smith
90+1'
Steven Fletcher

Possession

60%Huddersfield

Shots

13Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

54%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldWrexham
Overview
60%Possession40%
13Total Shots8
5Corners4
8Fouls20
Shots
13Total Shots8
2On Target4
7Off Target3
4Blocked1
10Inside Box4
3Outside Box4
Passing
60%Possession40%
546Total Passes355
444Accurate Passes243
81%Pass Accuracy68%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
Discipline
8Fouls20
0Yellow Cards2
2Offsides2

Match Recap: Huddersfield vs Wrexham

Wrexham beat Huddersfield 1-0 in League One on March 4, 2025.

Goals: S. Fletcher (73').

Huddersfield controlled possession (60%) and registered 13 shots to 8.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield, West Yorkshire.