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Huddersfield vs Tottenham — Premier League 2026

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Tottenham
Tottenham
H. Kane 34' (pen), 25'
9/29/2018Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 7John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Huddersfield25%
×Draw26%
Tottenham50%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.01
Tottenham
1.55

Tottenham creates 53% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 202 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
0.68
Tottenham
1.63

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.47
Tottenham
1.33

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Tottenham+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Tottenham →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–112%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
50%
Huddersfield or Tottenham
74%
Draw or Tottenham
75%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
9%
Tottenham wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
64%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
27%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
8%
Tottenham 1+ goals
79%
Tottenham 2+ goals
46%
Tottenham 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
33%
Tottenham (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.68, concedes 1.47 · 38 matches

Tottenham away — creates 1.63, concedes 1.33 · 202 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.68 + Tottenham defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.01

Tottenham attack 1.63 + Huddersfield defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Huddersfield scores more
25%
level
26%
Tottenham scores more
50%

Tottenham at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Tottenham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
H. KaneTottenhamTottenham · F
8.8

Match Events

25'
H. Kane↳ K. Trippier
29'
F. Hadergjonaj← T. Kongolo
34'
H. KanePenalty
44'
Zanka
46'
H. Winks← M. Dembélé
46'
V. Wanyama← J. Vertonghen
67'
Danny Rose
71'
I. Mbenza← C. Schindler
81'
Harry Winks
85'
S. Mounié← A. Pritchard
86'
Philip Billing
90'
M. Sissoko← Son Heung-Min

Possession

52%Huddersfield

Shots

9Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

50%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldTottenham
Overview
52%Possession48%
9Total Shots10
3Corners0
17Fouls16
Shots
9Total Shots10
5On Target6
3Off Target4
1Blocked0
4Inside Box10
5Outside Box0
Passing
52%Possession48%
420Total Passes388
308Accurate Passes282
73%Pass Accuracy73%
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
Discipline
17Fouls16
2Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

Premier League: Huddersfield 0–2 Tottenham

Tottenham beat Huddersfield 2-0 in Premier League on September 29, 2018.

Goals: H. Kane (25', 34' pen).

Huddersfield controlled possession (52%) and registered 9 shots to 10.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield.