Huddersfield 0–0 Sheffield Utd: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sheffield Utd

2/12/2022

Championship · Round 32John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

Huddersfield28%

×Draw27%

Sheffield Utd45%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchSheffield Utd

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.07

1.42

Huddersfield

1.07

Sheffield Utd

1.42

Sheffield Utd creates 33% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 39 away

0.96

creates per match

1.36

1.47

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Huddersfield

0.96

Sheffield Utd

1.36

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.47

Sheffield Utd

1.18

-0.06on par

finishing

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

Huddersfield-0.06on par

Sheffield Utd+0.10scores more

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Sheffield Utd →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–112%

0–28%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

55%

Huddersfield or Sheffield Utd

73%

Draw or Sheffield Utd

72%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

11%

Sheffield Utd wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

66%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

29%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

9%

Sheffield Utd 1+ goals

76%

Sheffield Utd 2+ goals

41%

Sheffield Utd 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

39%

Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)

61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 0.96, concedes 1.47 · 10 matches

Sheffield Utd away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.18 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 0.96 + Sheffield Utd defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.07

Sheffield Utd attack 1.36 + Huddersfield defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Huddersfield scores more

28%

level

27%

Sheffield Utd scores more

45%

Sheffield Utd at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Sheffield Utd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

L. Nicholls

Huddersfield · G

8.2

Match Events

17'

Sander Berge

66'

D. Holmes← J. Koroma

69'

Jack Robinson

72'

O. Norwood← M. Gibbs-White

73'

Oliver McBurnie

76'

D. Sinani← J. Ruffels

86'

I. Ndiaye← O. McBurnie

88'

H. Toffolo← D. Ward

90+3'

Jonathan Hogg

90'

John Fleck

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldSheffield

Overview

50%Possession50%

12Total Shots9

9Corners2

5Fouls13

Shots

12Total Shots9

3On Target6

4Off Target2

5Blocked1

6Inside Box7

6Outside Box2

Passing

50%Possession50%

505Total Passes504

420Accurate Passes411

83%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

5Saves3

Discipline

5Fouls13

1Yellow Cards4

0Offsides1