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Huddersfield vs Crewe — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
CANC
11:30
Crewe
Crewe
7/31/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Huddersfield31%
×Draw23%
Crewe46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.42
Crewe
1.77

Crewe creates 25% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.33
Crewe
2.88

allows per match

Huddersfield
0.67
Crewe
1.50

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Crewe+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Crewe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
54%
Huddersfield or Crewe
77%
Draw or Crewe
69%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
14%
Crewe wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
76%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
41%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
17%
Crewe 1+ goals
83%
Crewe 2+ goals
53%
Crewe 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
40%
Crewe (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Crewe away — creates 2.88, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.33 + Crewe defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

Crewe attack 2.88 + Huddersfield defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Huddersfield scores more
31%
level
23%
Crewe scores more
46%

Crewe at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Crewe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Huddersfield vs Crewe — Match Preview

Huddersfield face Crewe on July 31, 2021 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Huddersfield host Crewe at John Smith's Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.