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Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Preview
14:00
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
8/15/2026League OneLeague One · Round 1Accu Stadium
59%
Huddersfield
model favours
59%22%19%

Huddersfield sit 9, AFC Wimbledon 19 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
57%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Huddersfield59%
×Draw22%
AFC Wimbledon19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.96
AFC Wimbledon
1.02

Huddersfield creates 92% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 11 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.95
AFC Wimbledon
1.10

allows per match

Huddersfield
0.94
AFC Wimbledon
1.96

finishing

Huddersfield+0.13scores more
AFC Wimbledon+0.17scores more

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

AFC Wimbledon →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
81%
Huddersfield or AFC Wimbledon
78%
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
41%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
35%
AFC Wimbledon wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
86%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
58%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
31%
AFC Wimbledon 1+ goals
64%
AFC Wimbledon 2+ goals
27%
AFC Wimbledon 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
75%
AFC Wimbledon (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.95, concedes 0.94 · 12 matches

AFC Wimbledon away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.96 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.95 + AFC Wimbledon defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 1.96

AFC Wimbledon attack 1.10 + Huddersfield defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Huddersfield scores more
59%
level
22%
AFC Wimbledon scores more
19%

Huddersfield at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.8 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
AFC Wimbledon
Balanced
52%Possession47%
73%Pass accuracy68%
12.6Shots10.6
1.80xGBiggest gap1.16
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
HuddersfieldAFC Wimbledon

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Huddersfield
LLWLW
Wimbledon
DWLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Huddersfield host AFC Wimbledon

August 15, 2026: Huddersfield take on AFC Wimbledon in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Huddersfield host AFC Wimbledon at Accu Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.