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AFC Fylde vs Huddersfield — Friendlies Clubs 2026

AFC Fylde
AFC Fylde
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
J. Morris 6'
R. Ledson 50'
J. Low 47'
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

AFC Fylde23%
×Draw21%
Huddersfield55%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

AFC Fylde
1.29
Huddersfield
2.08

Huddersfield creates 61% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

AFC Fylde
0.75
Huddersfield
1.67

allows per match

AFC Fylde
2.50
Huddersfield
1.83

finishing

AFC Fylde+0.00on par
Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

AFC Fylde ↓

Huddersfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–17%
0–27%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

AFC Fylde or draw
45%
AFC Fylde or Huddersfield
79%
Draw or Huddersfield
77%

Winning margin

AFC Fylde wins by 2+
10%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

AFC Fylde 1+ goals
72%
AFC Fylde 2+ goals
37%
AFC Fylde 3+ goals
14%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
87%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
61%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

AFC Fylde (draw refunded)
30%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

AFC Fylde at home — creates 0.75, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

AFC Fylde attack 0.75 + Huddersfield defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.29

Huddersfield attack 1.67 + AFC Fylde defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

AFC Fylde scores more
23%
level
21%
Huddersfield scores more
55%

Huddersfield at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
J. Morris
47'
J. Low
50'
R. Ledson
AFC
Huddersfield
Chris Beech
Manager: Chris Beech
Liam Manning
Manager: Liam Manning

Match Recap: AFC Fylde vs Huddersfield

Huddersfield beat AFC Fylde 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.

Goals: J. Morris (6'), J. Low (47'), R. Ledson (50').