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Huddersfield Town W vs Leeds W — FA Women's Cup 2019

Huddersfield Town W
Huddersfield Town W
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Leeds W
Leeds W
11/23/2025FA Women's CupFA Women's Cup · 2nd Round

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Huddersfield Town W57%
×Draw16%
Leeds W27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield Town W
3.62
Leeds W
2.54

Huddersfield Town W creates 43% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

creates per match

Huddersfield Town W
4.67
Leeds W
3.29

allows per match

Huddersfield Town W
1.78
Leeds W
2.57

finishing

Huddersfield Town W+0.00on par
Leeds W+0.00on par

Total goals

94%Over
  • Over94
  • Under6

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

89%Yes
  • Yes89
  • No11

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield Town W ↓

Leeds W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–01%
1–12%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–25%
2–34%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–35%
3–43%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–25%
4–35%
4–43%

Most likely 3–2 (6%) · grid covers 68% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
94%6%3.5
85%15%4.5
71%29%

Double chance

Huddersfield Town W or draw
73%
Huddersfield Town W or Leeds W
84%
Draw or Leeds W
43%

Winning margin

Huddersfield Town W wins by 2+
39%
Leeds W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Huddersfield Town W 1+ goals
97%
Huddersfield Town W 2+ goals
87%
Huddersfield Town W 3+ goals
68%
Leeds W 1+ goals
92%
Leeds W 2+ goals
72%
Leeds W 3+ goals
46%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield Town W (draw refunded)
68%
Leeds W (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
87%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield Town W at home — creates 4.67, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Leeds W away — creates 3.29, concedes 2.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield Town W attack 4.67 + Leeds W defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 3.62

Leeds W attack 3.29 + Huddersfield Town W defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 2.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Huddersfield Town W scores more
57%
level
16%
Leeds W scores more
27%

Huddersfield Town W at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Huddersfield Town W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FA Women's Cup: Huddersfield Town W 1–3 Leeds W

Leeds W beat Huddersfield Town W 3-1 in FA Women's Cup on November 23, 2025.