Scoreo

Huddersfield Town W vs Everton WFA Women's Cup 2019

Huddersfield Town W
Huddersfield Town W
FT
04
HT: 02
Everton W
Everton W
1/30/2022FA Women's CupFA Women's Cup · 4th RoundJohn Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Huddersfield Town W52%
×Draw18%
Everton W31%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield Town W
2.97
Everton W
2.30

Huddersfield Town W creates 29% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 11 away

creates per match

Huddersfield Town W
4.67
Everton W
2.82

allows per match

Huddersfield Town W
1.78
Everton W
1.27

finishing

Huddersfield Town W+0.00on par
Everton W+0.00on par

Total goals

89%Over
  • Over89
  • Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

85%Yes
  • Yes85
  • No15

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield Town W

Everton W
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
011%
021%
031%
041%
1
102%
114%
124%
133%
142%
2
202%
215%
226%
235%
243%
3
302%
315%
326%
335%
343%
4
402%
414%
425%
434%
442%

Most likely 2–2 (6%) · grid covers 78% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
97%3%2.5
89%11%3.5
76%24%4.5
59%41%

Double chance

Huddersfield Town W or draw
69%
Huddersfield Town W or Everton W
82%
Draw or Everton W
48%

Winning margin

Huddersfield Town W wins by 2+
33%
Everton W wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Huddersfield Town W 1+ goals
95%
Huddersfield Town W 2+ goals
79%
Huddersfield Town W 3+ goals
56%
Everton W 1+ goals
90%
Everton W 2+ goals
67%
Everton W 3+ goals
40%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield Town W (draw refunded)
63%
Everton W (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
81%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield Town W at homecreates 4.67, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Everton W awaycreates 2.82, concedes 1.27 · 11 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield Town W attack 4.67 + Everton W defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 2.97

Everton W attack 2.82 + Huddersfield Town W defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 2.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Huddersfield Town W scores more
52%
level
18%
Everton W scores more
31%

Huddersfield Town W at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Huddersfield Town W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Huddersfield Town W vs Everton W

Everton W beat Huddersfield Town W 4-0 in FA Women's Cup on January 30, 2022.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield, West Yorkshire.