Hradec Králové II 6–0 Přepeře: Result & Stats

Hradec Králové II

FT

6 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Přepeře

5/1/2022

3. liga - CFL B · ČFL B - 23Areál TJ Slavia Hradec Králové

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 48+ matches

Hradec Králové II50%

×Draw23%

Přepeře27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hradec Králové IIExpected goals in this matchPřepeře

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

1.30

Hradec Králové II

1.86

Přepeře

1.30

Hradec Králové II creates 43% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 48 away

1.70

creates per match

1.35

1.25

allows per match

2.02

creates per match

Hradec Králové II

1.70

Přepeře

1.35

allows per match

Hradec Králové II

1.25

Přepeře

2.02

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hradec Králové II+0.00on par

Přepeře+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hradec Králové II ↓

Přepeře →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Hradec Králové II or draw

73%

Hradec Králové II or Přepeře

77%

Draw or Přepeře

50%

Winning margin

Hradec Králové II wins by 2+

28%

Přepeře wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Hradec Králové II 1+ goals

84%

Hradec Králové II 2+ goals

55%

Hradec Králové II 3+ goals

28%

Přepeře 1+ goals

73%

Přepeře 2+ goals

37%

Přepeře 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Hradec Králové II (draw refunded)

65%

Přepeře (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

51%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hradec Králové II at home — creates 1.70, concedes 1.25 · 79 matches

Přepeře away — creates 1.35, concedes 2.02 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hradec Králové II attack 1.70 + Přepeře defence 2.02 → ÷2 → 1.86

Přepeře attack 1.35 + Hradec Králové II defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Hradec Králové II scores more

50%

level

23%

Přepeře scores more

27%

Hradec Králové II at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Hradec Králové II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff