Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–0 Quang Nam: Result & Stats

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Quang Nam

10/3/2024

V.League 1 · Round 4Sân Vận động tỉnh Hà Tĩnh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh42%

×Draw26%

Quang Nam32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhExpected goals in this matchQuang Nam

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.23

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

1.46

Quang Nam

1.23

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh creates 19% more chances

Season form · 78 home / 49 away

1.14

creates per match

1.35

1.10

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

1.14

Quang Nam

1.35

allows per match

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

1.10

Quang Nam

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh+0.00on par

Quang Nam+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh ↓

Quang Nam →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw

68%

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or Quang Nam

74%

Draw or Quang Nam

58%

Winning margin

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh wins by 2+

20%

Quang Nam wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1+ goals

77%

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2+ goals

43%

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 3+ goals

18%

Quang Nam 1+ goals

71%

Quang Nam 2+ goals

35%

Quang Nam 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (draw refunded)

57%

Quang Nam (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.10 · 78 matches

Quang Nam away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.78 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh attack 1.14 + Quang Nam defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.46

Quang Nam attack 1.35 + Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh scores more

42%

level

26%

Quang Nam scores more

32%

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 1: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–0 Quang Nam

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and Quang Nam drew 0-0 in V.League 1 on October 3, 2024.

The match was played at Sân Vận động tỉnh Hà Tĩnh in Hà Tĩnh.

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Quang Nam — V.League 1 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

V.League 1: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–0 Quang Nam