Hombrucher SV U19 2–0 Meppen U19: Result & Stats

Hombrucher SV U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Meppen U19

5/14/2026

U19 Bundesliga · Round 13

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Hombrucher SV U1957%

×Draw20%

Meppen U1923%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hombrucher SV U19Expected goals in this matchMeppen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.21

1.34

Hombrucher SV U19

2.21

Meppen U19

1.34

Hombrucher SV U19 creates 65% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 51 away

1.86

creates per match

1.69

1.00

allows per match

2.55

creates per match

Hombrucher SV U19

1.86

Meppen U19

1.69

allows per match

Hombrucher SV U19

1.00

Meppen U19

2.55

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hombrucher SV U19+0.00on par

Meppen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over69
Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hombrucher SV U19 ↓

Meppen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

69%31%3.5

47%53%4.5

28%72%

Double chance

Hombrucher SV U19 or draw

77%

Hombrucher SV U19 or Meppen U19

80%

Draw or Meppen U19

43%

Winning margin

Hombrucher SV U19 wins by 2+

35%

Meppen U19 wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Hombrucher SV U19 1+ goals

89%

Hombrucher SV U19 2+ goals

65%

Hombrucher SV U19 3+ goals

38%

Meppen U19 1+ goals

74%

Meppen U19 2+ goals

39%

Meppen U19 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Hombrucher SV U19 (draw refunded)

71%

Meppen U19 (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hombrucher SV U19 at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Meppen U19 away — creates 1.69, concedes 2.55 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hombrucher SV U19 attack 1.86 + Meppen U19 defence 2.55 → ÷2 → 2.21

Meppen U19 attack 1.69 + Hombrucher SV U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Hombrucher SV U19 scores more

57%

level

20%

Meppen U19 scores more

23%

Hombrucher SV U19 at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Hombrucher SV U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hombrucher SV U19 vs Meppen U19

Hombrucher SV U19 beat Meppen U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on May 14, 2026.

Hombrucher SV U19 vs Meppen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Hombrucher SV U19 vs Meppen U19