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Hohoe United vs Young Apostles — Premier League 2019

Hohoe United
Hohoe United
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Young Apostles
Young Apostles
9/20/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 2Hohoe Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Hohoe United49%
×Draw30%
Young Apostles21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hohoe United
1.24
Young Apostles
0.69

Hohoe United creates 80% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 34 away

creates per match

Hohoe United
1.07
Young Apostles
0.38

allows per match

Hohoe United
1.00
Young Apostles
1.41

finishing

Hohoe United+0.00on par
Young Apostles+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohoe United ↓

Young Apostles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–110%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Hohoe United or draw
79%
Hohoe United or Young Apostles
70%
Draw or Young Apostles
51%

Winning margin

Hohoe United wins by 2+
23%
Young Apostles wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Hohoe United 1+ goals
71%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
35%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
13%
Young Apostles 1+ goals
50%
Young Apostles 2+ goals
15%
Young Apostles 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Hohoe United (draw refunded)
71%
Young Apostles (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohoe United at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Young Apostles away — creates 0.38, concedes 1.41 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohoe United attack 1.07 + Young Apostles defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.24

Young Apostles attack 0.38 + Hohoe United defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Hohoe United scores more
49%
level
30%
Young Apostles scores more
21%

Hohoe United at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Hohoe United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hohoe United vs Young Apostles

Hohoe United and Young Apostles drew 1-1 in Premier League on September 20, 2025.

The match was played at Hohoe Sports Stadium.