Scoreo

Hohoe United vs Bibiani Gold StarsPremier League 2019

Hohoe United
Hohoe United
FT
01
HT: 01
Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars
12/21/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 15Hohoe Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Hohoe United47%
×Draw29%
Bibiani Gold Stars25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hohoe United
1.29
Bibiani Gold Stars
0.85

Hohoe United creates 52% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 84 away

creates per match

Hohoe United
1.07
Bibiani Gold Stars
0.70

allows per match

Hohoe United
1.00
Bibiani Gold Stars
1.50

finishing

Hohoe United+0.00on par
Bibiani Gold Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohoe United

Bibiani Gold Stars
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0110%
024%
031%
040%
1
1015%
1113%
125%
132%
140%
2
2010%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hohoe United or draw
75%
Hohoe United or Bibiani Gold Stars
71%
Draw or Bibiani Gold Stars
53%

Winning margin

Hohoe United wins by 2+
22%
Bibiani Gold Stars wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Hohoe United 1+ goals
72%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
37%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
14%
Bibiani Gold Stars 1+ goals
57%
Bibiani Gold Stars 2+ goals
21%
Bibiani Gold Stars 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Hohoe United (draw refunded)
66%
Bibiani Gold Stars (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohoe United at homecreates 1.07, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Bibiani Gold Stars awaycreates 0.70, concedes 1.50 · 84 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohoe United attack 1.07 + Bibiani Gold Stars defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.29

Bibiani Gold Stars attack 0.70 + Hohoe United defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Hohoe United scores more
47%
level
29%
Bibiani Gold Stars scores more
25%

Hohoe United at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Hohoe United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hohoe United vs Bibiani Gold Stars

Bibiani Gold Stars beat Hohoe United 1-0 in Premier League on December 21, 2025.

The match was played at Hohoe Sports Stadium.