Scoreo

Hohoe United vs Basake Holy StarsPremier League 2019

5/17/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 33Hohoe Sports Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Hohoe United54%
×Draw27%
Basake Holy Stars19%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hohoe United
1.42
Basake Holy Stars
0.72

Hohoe United creates 97% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 33 away

creates per match

Hohoe United
1.07
Basake Holy Stars
0.45

allows per match

Hohoe United
1.00
Basake Holy Stars
1.76

finishing

Hohoe United+0.00on par
Basake Holy Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohoe United

Basake Holy Stars
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
018%
023%
031%
040%
1
1017%
1112%
124%
131%
140%
2
2012%
219%
223%
231%
240%
3
306%
314%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Hohoe United or draw
81%
Hohoe United or Basake Holy Stars
73%
Draw or Basake Holy Stars
46%

Winning margin

Hohoe United wins by 2+
27%
Basake Holy Stars wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Hohoe United 1+ goals
76%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
41%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
17%
Basake Holy Stars 1+ goals
51%
Basake Holy Stars 2+ goals
16%
Basake Holy Stars 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Hohoe United (draw refunded)
74%
Basake Holy Stars (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohoe United at homecreates 1.07, concedes 1.00 · 14 matches

Basake Holy Stars awaycreates 0.45, concedes 1.76 · 33 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohoe United attack 1.07 + Basake Holy Stars defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.42

Basake Holy Stars attack 0.45 + Hohoe United defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Hohoe United scores more
54%
level
27%
Basake Holy Stars scores more
19%

Hohoe United at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Hohoe United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hohoe United face Basake Holy Stars (Premier League)

Premier League returns with Hohoe United hosting Basake Holy Stars. Match starts May 17, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Hohoe United host Basake Holy Stars at Hohoe Sports Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.