Hohenems 1–1 Bischofshofen: Result & Stats

Hohenems

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Bischofshofen

L. Ancevski 7'

K. Chatzipirpiridis 19'

4/19/2025

Regionalliga - West · West - 22Herrenriedstadion Hohenems

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Hohenems56%

×Draw21%

Bischofshofen24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HohenemsExpected goals in this matchBischofshofen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.13

1.33

Hohenems

2.13

Bischofshofen

1.33

Hohenems creates 60% more chances

Season form · 99 home / 61 away

2.42

creates per match

1.41

1.26

allows per match

1.84

creates per match

Hohenems

2.42

Bischofshofen

1.41

allows per match

Hohenems

1.26

Bischofshofen

1.84

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hohenems+0.00on par

Bischofshofen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hohenems ↓

Bischofshofen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Hohenems or draw

76%

Hohenems or Bischofshofen

79%

Draw or Bischofshofen

44%

Winning margin

Hohenems wins by 2+

33%

Bischofshofen wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Hohenems 1+ goals

88%

Hohenems 2+ goals

63%

Hohenems 3+ goals

35%

Bischofshofen 1+ goals

74%

Bischofshofen 2+ goals

38%

Bischofshofen 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Hohenems (draw refunded)

70%

Bischofshofen (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hohenems at home — creates 2.42, concedes 1.26 · 99 matches

Bischofshofen away — creates 1.41, concedes 1.84 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hohenems attack 2.42 + Bischofshofen defence 1.84 → ÷2 → 2.13

Bischofshofen attack 1.41 + Hohenems defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Hohenems scores more

56%

level

21%

Bischofshofen scores more

24%

Hohenems at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Hohenems will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'

L. Ancevski

19'

K. Chatzipirpiridis

23'

I. Bosnjak← P. Irsch

32'

D. Halilovic← T. Pellegrini

57'

O. Azzef← A. Hasanovic

59'

76'

76'

85'

85'

N. Heimböck← N. Bösch

Hohenems

Bischofshofen

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

Manager: W. Grabherr

59'▲L. Tripp←▼P. Gaßner

76'▲G. Quiroz←▼M. Ünal

76'▲N. Potić←▼A. Ganahl

85'▲F. Marold←▼A. Bačić

85'▲N. Heimböck←▼N. Bösch

Hohenems substitutes

TrippQuirozPotićMaroldHeimböckVonach

Manager: T. Schnöll

23'▲I. Bosnjak←▼P. Irsch

32'▲D. Halilovic←▼T. Pellegrini

57'▲O. Azzef←▼A. Hasanovic

Bischofshofen substitutes

BosnjakHalilovicAzzefKircherOlatunji