Hoffenheim U19 3–0 Sandhausen U19: Result & Stats

Hoffenheim U19

FT

3 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sandhausen U19

12/7/2024

U19 Bundesliga · 1st Group Stage - 14Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Hoffenheim U1965%

×Draw17%

Sandhausen U1918%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hoffenheim U19Expected goals in this matchSandhausen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.79

1.46

Hoffenheim U19

2.79

Sandhausen U19

1.46

Hoffenheim U19 creates 91% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 38 away

3.14

creates per match

1.55

1.36

allows per match

2.45

creates per match

Hoffenheim U19

3.14

Sandhausen U19

1.55

allows per match

Hoffenheim U19

1.36

Sandhausen U19

2.45

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hoffenheim U19+0.00on par

Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over79
Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes72
No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hoffenheim U19 ↓

Sandhausen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–04%

1–16%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–18%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–04%

4–15%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

92%8%2.5

79%21%3.5

60%40%4.5

41%59%

Double chance

Hoffenheim U19 or draw

82%

Hoffenheim U19 or Sandhausen U19

83%

Draw or Sandhausen U19

35%

Winning margin

Hoffenheim U19 wins by 2+

44%

Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Hoffenheim U19 1+ goals

94%

Hoffenheim U19 2+ goals

76%

Hoffenheim U19 3+ goals

52%

Sandhausen U19 1+ goals

77%

Sandhausen U19 2+ goals

43%

Sandhausen U19 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Hoffenheim U19 (draw refunded)

78%

Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

66%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hoffenheim U19 at home — creates 3.14, concedes 1.36 · 74 matches

Sandhausen U19 away — creates 1.55, concedes 2.45 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hoffenheim U19 attack 3.14 + Sandhausen U19 defence 2.45 → ÷2 → 2.79

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.55 + Hoffenheim U19 defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Hoffenheim U19 scores more

65%

level

17%

Sandhausen U19 scores more

18%

Hoffenheim U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Hoffenheim U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

U19 Bundesliga: Hoffenheim U19 3–0 Sandhausen U19

Hoffenheim U19 beat Sandhausen U19 3-0 in U19 Bundesliga on December 7, 2024.

The match was played at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion in Sinsheim.

Hoffenheim U19 vs Sandhausen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Hoffenheim U19 3–0 Sandhausen U19