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Hòa Bình vs Da Nang — V.League 2 2020

Hòa Bình
Hòa Bình
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Da Nang
Da Nang
2/25/2024V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 10Sân Vận Động Hòa Bình

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Hòa Bình22%
×Draw29%
Da Nang49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hòa Bình
0.78
Da Nang
1.31

Da Nang creates 68% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 10 away

creates per match

Hòa Bình
0.86
Da Nang
1.90

allows per match

Hòa Bình
0.72
Da Nang
0.70

finishing

Hòa Bình+0.00on par
Da Nang+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hòa Bình ↓

Da Nang →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–116%
0–211%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Hòa Bình or draw
51%
Hòa Bình or Da Nang
71%
Draw or Da Nang
78%

Winning margin

Hòa Bình wins by 2+
7%
Da Nang wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Hòa Bình 1+ goals
54%
Hòa Bình 2+ goals
18%
Hòa Bình 3+ goals
4%
Da Nang 1+ goals
73%
Da Nang 2+ goals
38%
Da Nang 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Hòa Bình (draw refunded)
31%
Da Nang (draw refunded)
69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hòa Bình at home — creates 0.86, concedes 0.72 · 29 matches

Da Nang away — creates 1.90, concedes 0.70 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hòa Bình attack 0.86 + Da Nang defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.78

Da Nang attack 1.90 + Hòa Bình defence 0.72 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Hòa Bình scores more
22%
level
29%
Da Nang scores more
49%

Da Nang at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Da Nang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hòa Bình vs Da Nang

Da Nang beat Hòa Bình 2-0 in V.League 2 on February 25, 2024.

The match was played at Sân Vận Động Hòa Bình in Hòa Bình.