Ho Chi Minh 0–0 Văn Hiến: Result & Stats

Ho Chi Minh

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Văn Hiến

3/7/2026

V.League 2 · Round 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Ho Chi Minh54%

×Draw27%

Văn Hiến18%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ho Chi MinhExpected goals in this matchVăn Hiến

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.41

0.69

Ho Chi Minh

1.41

Văn Hiến

0.69

Ho Chi Minh creates 104% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 11 away

1.55

creates per match

0.73

0.64

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Ho Chi Minh

1.55

Văn Hiến

0.73

allows per match

Ho Chi Minh

0.64

Văn Hiến

1.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ho Chi Minh+0.00on par

Văn Hiến+0.00on par

Total goals

Under65
Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ho Chi Minh ↓

Văn Hiến →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

62%38%2.5

35%65%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Ho Chi Minh or draw

82%

Ho Chi Minh or Văn Hiến

73%

Draw or Văn Hiến

46%

Winning margin

Ho Chi Minh wins by 2+

27%

Văn Hiến wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Ho Chi Minh 1+ goals

76%

Ho Chi Minh 2+ goals

41%

Ho Chi Minh 3+ goals

17%

Văn Hiến 1+ goals

50%

Văn Hiến 2+ goals

15%

Văn Hiến 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Ho Chi Minh (draw refunded)

75%

Văn Hiến (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ho Chi Minh at home — creates 1.55, concedes 0.64 · 11 matches

Văn Hiến away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.27 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ho Chi Minh attack 1.55 + Văn Hiến defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.41

Văn Hiến attack 0.73 + Ho Chi Minh defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Ho Chi Minh scores more

54%

level

27%

Văn Hiến scores more

18%

Ho Chi Minh at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Ho Chi Minh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff