HJK Helsinki 11–1 MyPa: Result & Stats | Suomen Cup

HJK Helsinki

11 – 1

HT: 6 – 0

MyPa

T. Mero 85', 9'

L. Moller 84', 72'

D. Ezeh 78', 67'

M. Borchers 32', 26'

M. Kirilov 23', 20'

V. Karppanen 16' (OG)

O. Haimi 69'

5/26/2026

Suomen Cup · Round of 16Bolt Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

HJK Helsinki63%

×Draw19%

MyPa18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HJK HelsinkiExpected goals in this matchMyPa

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.45

1.26

HJK Helsinki

2.45

MyPa

1.26

HJK Helsinki creates 94% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 11 away

2.63

creates per match

1.73

0.79

allows per match

2.27

creates per match

HJK Helsinki

2.63

MyPa

1.73

allows per match

HJK Helsinki

0.79

MyPa

2.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

HJK Helsinki+0.00on par

MyPa+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

HJK Helsinki ↓

MyPa →

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1–06%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3–06%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4–04%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

HJK Helsinki or draw

82%

HJK Helsinki or MyPa

81%

Draw or MyPa

37%

Winning margin

HJK Helsinki wins by 2+

41%

MyPa wins by 2+

Team goals

HJK Helsinki 1+ goals

91%

HJK Helsinki 2+ goals

70%

HJK Helsinki 3+ goals

44%

MyPa 1+ goals

72%

MyPa 2+ goals

36%

MyPa 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

HJK Helsinki (draw refunded)

77%

MyPa (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

HJK Helsinki at home — creates 2.63, concedes 0.79 · 19 matches

MyPa away — creates 1.73, concedes 2.27 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

HJK Helsinki attack 2.63 + MyPa defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 2.45

MyPa attack 1.73 + HJK Helsinki defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 63%?"

HJK Helsinki scores more

63%

level

19%

MyPa scores more

18%

HJK Helsinki at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "HJK Helsinki will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

V. Konttas← M. Ameen

T. Mero

16'

V. KarppanenOwn goal

20'

23'

26'

32'

46'

L. Moller← L. Lingman

46'

V. Ekman← D. Kaiga

46'

O. Haimi← O. Kahkonen

46'

59'

60'

65'

65'

65'

L. Palmula← M. Ylitolva

67'

D. Ezeh

69'

O. Haimi

71'

T. Raikkonen← T. Raikkonen

72'

78'

84'

85'

HJK

MyPa

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Saarelain

🥅

Karppanen

Ost

▼

Ring

⚽2

▼

▼

⚽2

⚽2

⚽2

▼

▼

Manager: Joonas Rantanen

9'▲V. Konttas←▼M. Ameen

46'▲L. Moller←▼L. Lingman

65'▲A. Cicale←▼A. Ring

65'▲R. Hudd←▼M. Borchers

65'▲L. Palmula←▼M. Ylitolva

HJK Helsinki substitutes

12Haapanen6Tikkanen7Cicale11Hudd22Moller61Konttas62Palmula

46'▲V. Ekman←▼D. Kaiga

46'▲O. Haimi←▼O. Kahkonen

46'▲O. Rauhala←▼V. Piira

60'▲M. Koykka←▼K. Ahola

71'▲—←▼T. Raikkonen

MyPa substitutes

25Vanhala2Ekman6Koykka9Haimi17Heimonen18Onatsu21Mehtojarvi26Kaddouri28Rauhala

Suomen Cup: HJK Helsinki 11–1 MyPa

HJK Helsinki beat MyPa 11-1 in Suomen Cup on May 26, 2026.

Goals: T. Mero (9', 85'), V. Karppanen (16' o.g.), M. Kirilov (20', 23'), M. Borchers (26', 32'), D. Ezeh (67', 78'), O. Haimi (69'), L. Moller (72', 84').

The match was played at Bolt Arena in Helsinki.

HJK Helsinki vs MyPa — Suomen Cup 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Suomen Cup: HJK Helsinki 11–1 MyPa