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HIFK Helsinki vs Ruh Brest — Friendlies Clubs 2026

HIFK Helsinki
HIFK Helsinki
FT
1 – 2
Ruh Brest
Ruh Brest
3/10/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Titanic Hotel Spor Kompleks Field 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

HIFK Helsinki28%
×Draw24%
Ruh Brest48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

HIFK Helsinki
1.21
Ruh Brest
1.67

Ruh Brest creates 38% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

HIFK Helsinki
1.67
Ruh Brest
2.00

allows per match

HIFK Helsinki
1.33
Ruh Brest
0.75

finishing

HIFK Helsinki+0.00on par
Ruh Brest+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

HIFK Helsinki ↓

Ruh Brest →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

HIFK Helsinki or draw
52%
HIFK Helsinki or Ruh Brest
76%
Draw or Ruh Brest
72%

Winning margin

HIFK Helsinki wins by 2+
11%
Ruh Brest wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

HIFK Helsinki 1+ goals
70%
HIFK Helsinki 2+ goals
34%
HIFK Helsinki 3+ goals
12%
Ruh Brest 1+ goals
81%
Ruh Brest 2+ goals
50%
Ruh Brest 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

HIFK Helsinki (draw refunded)
37%
Ruh Brest (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

HIFK Helsinki at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Ruh Brest away — creates 2.00, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

HIFK Helsinki attack 1.67 + Ruh Brest defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.21

Ruh Brest attack 2.00 + HIFK Helsinki defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

HIFK Helsinki scores more
28%
level
24%
Ruh Brest scores more
48%

Ruh Brest at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Ruh Brest will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: HIFK Helsinki vs Ruh Brest

Ruh Brest beat HIFK Helsinki 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on March 10, 2020.

The match was played at Titanic Hotel Spor Kompleks Field 2 in Lara.