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HIFK Helsinki vs PuiU Helsinki — Kakkonen - Lohko A 2018

HIFK Helsinki
HIFK Helsinki
Preview
12:00
PuiU Helsinki
PuiU Helsinki
8/8/2026Kakkonen - Lohko AKakkonen - Lohko A · Group AToolon Pallokentta
64%
HIFK Helsinki
model favours
64%18%18%

PuiU Helsinki score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
71%
over 2.5 goals
65%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

HIFK Helsinki64%
×Draw18%
PuiU Helsinki18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

HIFK Helsinki
2.47
PuiU Helsinki
1.23

HIFK Helsinki creates 101% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 15 away

creates per match

HIFK Helsinki
2.67
PuiU Helsinki
1.13

allows per match

HIFK Helsinki
1.33
PuiU Helsinki
2.27

finishing

HIFK Helsinki+0.00on par
PuiU Helsinki+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

HIFK Helsinki ↓

PuiU Helsinki →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

HIFK Helsinki or draw
82%
HIFK Helsinki or PuiU Helsinki
82%
Draw or PuiU Helsinki
36%

Winning margin

HIFK Helsinki wins by 2+
42%
PuiU Helsinki wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

HIFK Helsinki 1+ goals
91%
HIFK Helsinki 2+ goals
70%
HIFK Helsinki 3+ goals
44%
PuiU Helsinki 1+ goals
71%
PuiU Helsinki 2+ goals
35%
PuiU Helsinki 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

HIFK Helsinki (draw refunded)
78%
PuiU Helsinki (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

HIFK Helsinki at home — creates 2.67, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

PuiU Helsinki away — creates 1.13, concedes 2.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

HIFK Helsinki attack 2.67 + PuiU Helsinki defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 2.47

PuiU Helsinki attack 1.13 + HIFK Helsinki defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

HIFK Helsinki scores more
64%
level
18%
PuiU Helsinki scores more
18%

HIFK Helsinki at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "HIFK Helsinki will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 73% of HIFK Helsinki’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • HIFK Helsinki have scored in 7 games running

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Helsinki
LDWWW
Helsinki
WLLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: HIFK Helsinki host PuiU Helsinki

August 8, 2026: HIFK Helsinki take on PuiU Helsinki in Kakkonen - Lohko A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

HIFK Helsinki host PuiU Helsinki at Toolon Pallokentta.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.