Hibernian U19 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv U19: Result & Stats

Hibernian U19

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Dynamo Kyiv U19

D. Clelland 51'

K. Osypenko 54'

12/10/2025

UEFA Youth League · FinalEaster Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Hibernian U1939%

×Draw26%

Dynamo Kyiv U1936%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hibernian U19Expected goals in this matchDynamo Kyiv U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.34

Hibernian U19

1.40

Dynamo Kyiv U19

1.34

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 9 away

1.80

creates per match

1.89

0.80

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

Hibernian U19

1.80

Dynamo Kyiv U19

1.89

allows per match

Hibernian U19

0.80

Dynamo Kyiv U19

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hibernian U19+0.00on par

Dynamo Kyiv U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hibernian U19 ↓

Dynamo Kyiv U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Hibernian U19 or draw

64%

Hibernian U19 or Dynamo Kyiv U19

74%

Draw or Dynamo Kyiv U19

61%

Winning margin

Hibernian U19 wins by 2+

18%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Hibernian U19 1+ goals

75%

Hibernian U19 2+ goals

41%

Hibernian U19 3+ goals

17%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 1+ goals

74%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 2+ goals

39%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Hibernian U19 (draw refunded)

52%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hibernian U19 at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Dynamo Kyiv U19 away — creates 1.89, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hibernian U19 attack 1.80 + Dynamo Kyiv U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.40

Dynamo Kyiv U19 attack 1.89 + Hibernian U19 defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Hibernian U19 scores more

39%

level

26%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 scores more

36%

Hibernian U19 at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Hibernian U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

J. McMurdo

45'

Z. Bruce

51'

D. Clelland↳ J. Mcdonald

54'

K. Osypenko↳ B. Redushko

84'

D. Panimash← O. Rybak

84'

M. Hrodzinskyi← I. Andreyko

87'

L. Davidson

88'

J. Riddell← J. McMurdo

90+4'

D. Panimash

90+2'

A. Burns← J. Mcdonald

90+1'

A. Fedorenko← P. Lyusin

Hibernian

Dynamo

71

Surkis

2

▼

4

3

11

22

⚽

Osypenko

18

Ozymai

8

▼

Lyusin

7

▼

Andreyko

99

Ponomaren

10

A

1

2

4

5

3

8

6

10

A

▼

Mcdonald

9

▼

McMurdo

7

⚽

Clelland

11

Macdonald

88'▲J. Riddell←▼J. McMurdo

90+2'▲A. Burns←▼J. Mcdonald

Hibernian U19 substitutes

13Brown21Vautherin12Shankland14Burns16Downie17Gallacher18Riddell19Jimenez

Manager: Pavlo Cherednichenko

84'▲D. Panimash←▼O. Rybak

84'▲M. Hrodzinskyi←▼I. Andreyko

90+1'▲A. Fedorenko←▼P. Lyusin

Dynamo Kyiv U19 substitutes

1Syomka31Maksym5Buravtsov16Panimash17Hrodzinskyi20Fedorenko21Bekerskyi23Chalyi30Romaniuk

Match Recap: Hibernian U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19

Hibernian U19 and Dynamo Kyiv U19 drew 1-1 in UEFA Youth League on December 10, 2025.

Goals: D. Clelland (51'), K. Osypenko (54').

The match was played at Easter Road in Edinburgh.

Hibernian U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 — UEFA Youth League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Hibernian U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19