Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hertha Berlin vs FC Halifax Town — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Hertha Berlin
Hertha Berlin
CANC
10:00
FC Halifax Town
FC Halifax Town
7/16/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Hertha Berlin37%
×Draw22%
FC Halifax Town41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hertha Berlin
1.72
FC Halifax Town
1.83

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 3 away

creates per match

Hertha Berlin
1.44
FC Halifax Town
2.67

allows per match

Hertha Berlin
1.00
FC Halifax Town
2.00

finishing

Hertha Berlin+0.00on par
FC Halifax Town+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hertha Berlin ↓

FC Halifax Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Hertha Berlin or draw
59%
Hertha Berlin or FC Halifax Town
78%
Draw or FC Halifax Town
63%

Winning margin

Hertha Berlin wins by 2+
19%
FC Halifax Town wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Hertha Berlin 1+ goals
82%
Hertha Berlin 2+ goals
51%
Hertha Berlin 3+ goals
25%
FC Halifax Town 1+ goals
84%
FC Halifax Town 2+ goals
54%
FC Halifax Town 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Hertha Berlin (draw refunded)
47%
FC Halifax Town (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hertha Berlin at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

FC Halifax Town away — creates 2.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hertha Berlin attack 1.44 + FC Halifax Town defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.72

FC Halifax Town attack 2.67 + Hertha Berlin defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Hertha Berlin scores more
37%
level
22%
FC Halifax Town scores more
41%

FC Halifax Town at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FC Halifax Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hertha Berlin host FC Halifax Town

July 16, 2022: Hertha Berlin take on FC Halifax Town in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Hertha Berlin host FC Halifax Town at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.