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Helsingborg vs Rosengård — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Helsingborg
Helsingborg
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Rosengård
Rosengård
C. Ljung 83'
A. Johansson 72'
Unknown 59', 34'
2/4/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Helsingborg45%
×Draw24%
Rosengård32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Helsingborg
1.69
Rosengård
1.39

Helsingborg creates 22% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Helsingborg
2.27
Rosengård
1.78

allows per match

Helsingborg
1.00
Rosengård
1.11

finishing

Helsingborg+0.00on par
Rosengård+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Helsingborg ↓

Rosengård →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Helsingborg or draw
68%
Helsingborg or Rosengård
76%
Draw or Rosengård
55%

Winning margin

Helsingborg wins by 2+
23%
Rosengård wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Helsingborg 1+ goals
82%
Helsingborg 2+ goals
50%
Helsingborg 3+ goals
24%
Rosengård 1+ goals
75%
Rosengård 2+ goals
40%
Rosengård 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Helsingborg (draw refunded)
58%
Rosengård (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Helsingborg at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.00 · 11 matches

Rosengård away — creates 1.78, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Helsingborg attack 2.27 + Rosengård defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.69

Rosengård attack 1.78 + Helsingborg defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Helsingborg scores more
45%
level
24%
Rosengård scores more
32%

Helsingborg at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Helsingborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

34'
59'
72'
A. Johansson
83'
C. Ljung

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Helsingborg 2–2 Rosengård

Helsingborg and Rosengård drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 4, 2026.

Goals: ? (34', 59'), A. Johansson (72'), C. Ljung (83').