Hellas Verona 0–0 Udinese: Result & Stats | Serie A

Hellas Verona

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Udinese

9/24/2019

Serie A · Round 5Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

Hellas Verona39%

×Draw29%

Udinese32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hellas VeronaExpected goals in this matchUdinese

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.05

Hellas Verona

1.19

Udinese

1.05

Hellas Verona creates 13% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 32 away

0.80

creates per match

1.05

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Hellas Verona

0.80

Udinese

1.05

allows per match

Hellas Verona

1.05

Udinese

1.57

-0.17scores less than expected

finishing

+0.17scores more than expected

finishing

Hellas Verona-0.17scores less

Udinese+0.17scores more

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hellas Verona ↓

Udinese →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Hellas Verona or draw

68%

Hellas Verona or Udinese

71%

Draw or Udinese

61%

Winning margin

Hellas Verona wins by 2+

17%

Udinese wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Hellas Verona 1+ goals

70%

Hellas Verona 2+ goals

33%

Hellas Verona 3+ goals

12%

Udinese 1+ goals

65%

Udinese 2+ goals

28%

Udinese 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Hellas Verona (draw refunded)

55%

Udinese (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hellas Verona at home — creates 0.80, concedes 1.05 · 19 matches

Udinese away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.57 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hellas Verona attack 0.80 + Udinese defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.19

Udinese attack 1.05 + Hellas Verona defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Hellas Verona scores more

39%

level

29%

Udinese scores more

32%

Hellas Verona at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Hellas Verona will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4

Miguel Veloso

Hellas Verona · M

7.9

Match Events

29'

Mariusz Stępiński← Samuel Di Carmine

42'

Jens Stryger Larsen

60'

Mato Jajalo

61'

Valerio Verre← Mattia Zaccagni

65'

Stefano Okaka← Kevin Lasagna

70'

Walace← Antonín Barák

78'

Nicholas Opoku← Ken Sema

82'

Walace

83'

Luigi Vitale← Darko Lazović

90'

Rodrigo Becão

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HellasUdinese

Overview

55%Possession45%

13Total Shots11

6Corners6

5Fouls20

Shots

13Total Shots11

4On Target3

6Off Target5

3Blocked3

11Inside Box5

2Outside Box6

Passing

55%Possession45%

472Total Passes382

374Accurate Passes272

79%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

Discipline

5Fouls20

0Yellow Cards4

4Offsides0

Match Recap: Hellas Verona vs Udinese

Hellas Verona and Udinese drew 0-0 in Serie A on September 24, 2019.

Hellas Verona controlled possession (55%) and registered 13 shots to 11.

The match was played at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi in Verona.

Hellas Verona vs Udinese — Serie A 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Hellas Verona vs Udinese