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Havant & Wville vs Hanwell Town — League #60 2026

Havant & Wville
Havant & Wville
Preview
18:45
Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town
9/29/2026League #60League #60 · Round 9
66%
Havant & Wville
model favours
66%15%18%

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

3–1
likely score
90%
over 2.5 goals
82%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Havant & Wville66%
×Draw15%
Hanwell Town18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Havant & Wville
3.50
Hanwell Town
1.88

Havant & Wville creates 86% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Havant & Wville
4.25
Hanwell Town
1.50

allows per match

Havant & Wville
2.25
Hanwell Town
2.75

finishing

Havant & Wville+0.00on par
Hanwell Town+0.00on par

Total goals

90%Over
  • Over90
  • Under10

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Havant & Wville ↓

Hanwell Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–13%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–16%
4–25%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 75% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
97%3%2.5
90%10%3.5
77%23%4.5
60%40%

Double chance

Havant & Wville or draw
82%
Havant & Wville or Hanwell Town
85%
Draw or Hanwell Town
34%

Winning margin

Havant & Wville wins by 2+
48%
Hanwell Town wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Havant & Wville 1+ goals
97%
Havant & Wville 2+ goals
85%
Havant & Wville 3+ goals
66%
Hanwell Town 1+ goals
85%
Hanwell Town 2+ goals
56%
Hanwell Town 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Havant & Wville (draw refunded)
78%
Hanwell Town (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
79%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Havant & Wville at home — creates 4.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

Hanwell Town away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Havant & Wville attack 4.25 + Hanwell Town defence 2.75 → ÷2 → 3.50

Hanwell Town attack 1.50 + Havant & Wville defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Havant & Wville scores more
66%
level
15%
Hanwell Town scores more
18%

Havant & Wville at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Havant & Wville will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 4.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Wville
WDLWL
Town
DWDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Havant & Wville host Hanwell Town

September 29, 2026: Havant & Wville take on Hanwell Town in League #60. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.