Harrogate Town 0–0 Bromley: Result & Stats

Harrogate Town

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bromley

2/21/2026

League Two · Round 34Exercise Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Harrogate Town41%

×Draw26%

Bromley34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Harrogate TownExpected goals in this matchBromley

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.44

1.29

Harrogate Town

1.44

Bromley

1.29

Harrogate Town creates 12% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

1.24

creates per match

1.13

1.46

allows per match

1.63

creates per match

Harrogate Town

1.24

Bromley

1.13

allows per match

Harrogate Town

1.46

Bromley

1.63

-1.07scores less than expected

finishing

+0.54scores more than expected

finishing

Harrogate Town-1.07scores less

Bromley+0.54scores more

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Harrogate Town ↓

Bromley →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

76%24%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Harrogate Town or draw

66%

Harrogate Town or Bromley

74%

Draw or Bromley

59%

Winning margin

Harrogate Town wins by 2+

19%

Bromley wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Harrogate Town 1+ goals

76%

Harrogate Town 2+ goals

42%

Harrogate Town 3+ goals

18%

Bromley 1+ goals

72%

Bromley 2+ goals

37%

Bromley 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Harrogate Town (draw refunded)

55%

Bromley (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Harrogate Town at home — creates 1.24, concedes 1.46 · 6 matches

Bromley away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.63 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Harrogate Town attack 1.24 + Bromley defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.44

Bromley attack 1.13 + Harrogate Town defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Harrogate Town scores more

41%

level

26%

Bromley scores more

34%

Harrogate Town at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Harrogate Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

G. Smith

Bromley · G

8.2

Match Events

31'

Liam Gibson

46'

C. Jenkinson← M. Ifill

50'

Idris Odutayo

61'

N. Kabamba← B. Krauhaus

73'

B. Faulkner← L. Gibson

73'

B. Thompson← I. Odutayo

84'

Carl Jenkinson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HarrogateBromley

Overview

57%Possession43%

25Total Shots6

2.28Expected Goals (xG)0.65

6Corners4

7Fouls9

Shots

25Total Shots6

7On Target1

7Off Target3

11Blocked3

12Inside Box4

13Outside Box2

Passing

57%Possession43%

362Total Passes274

241Accurate Passes150

67%Pass Accuracy55%

Goalkeeping

1Saves7

Discipline

7Fouls9

1Yellow Cards2

1Offsides1