Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haras El Hodood vs Pyramids FC — League Cup 2021

Haras El Hodood
Haras El Hodood
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC
F. Etouga 77'
M. Ouka 45+2'
4/16/2025League CupLeague Cup · Group Stage - 3Haras El Hodoud Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Haras El Hodood58%
×Draw26%
Pyramids FC16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haras El Hodood
1.50
Pyramids FC
0.65

Haras El Hodood creates 131% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 9 away

creates per match

Haras El Hodood
1.00
Pyramids FC
0.89

allows per match

Haras El Hodood
0.40
Pyramids FC
2.00

finishing

Haras El Hodood+0.00on par
Pyramids FC+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haras El Hodood ↓

Pyramids FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–18%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Haras El Hodood or draw
84%
Haras El Hodood or Pyramids FC
74%
Draw or Pyramids FC
42%

Winning margin

Haras El Hodood wins by 2+
30%
Pyramids FC wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Haras El Hodood 1+ goals
78%
Haras El Hodood 2+ goals
44%
Haras El Hodood 3+ goals
19%
Pyramids FC 1+ goals
48%
Pyramids FC 2+ goals
14%
Pyramids FC 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Haras El Hodood (draw refunded)
78%
Pyramids FC (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haras El Hodood at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.40 · 5 matches

Pyramids FC away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haras El Hodood attack 1.00 + Pyramids FC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Pyramids FC attack 0.89 + Haras El Hodood defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Haras El Hodood scores more
58%
level
26%
Pyramids FC scores more
16%

Haras El Hodood at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Haras El Hodood will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

45+2'
M. Ouka
46'
A. Oubeid← M. Abou Gouda
46'
K. Yehia← M. El Deghemy
69'
Y. Atef← Y. Atef
69'
A. Gamal← F. Etouga
69'
K. Hatem← K. Hatem
77'
F. Etouga
81'
A. Said← A. Said
81'
I. Abou← I. Abou
89'
A. F. Mohamed← A. F. Mohamed

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League Cup: Haras El Hodood 2–0 Pyramids FC

Haras El Hodood beat Pyramids FC 2-0 in League Cup on April 16, 2025.

Goals: M. Ouka (45+2'), F. Etouga (77').

The match was played at Haras El Hodoud Stadium in Alexandria.