Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Bnei Yehuda — Liga Leumit 2019

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
11/24/2023Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Round 9Yankele Grundman Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon39%
×Draw26%
Bnei Yehuda35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.40
Bnei Yehuda
1.32

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 111 home / 94 away

creates per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.41
Bnei Yehuda
1.32

allows per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.32
Bnei Yehuda
1.39

finishing

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon+0.00on par
Bnei Yehuda+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon ↓

Bnei Yehuda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or draw
65%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or Bnei Yehuda
74%
Draw or Bnei Yehuda
61%

Winning margin

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon wins by 2+
18%
Bnei Yehuda wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1+ goals
75%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 2+ goals
41%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 3+ goals
17%
Bnei Yehuda 1+ goals
73%
Bnei Yehuda 2+ goals
38%
Bnei Yehuda 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon (draw refunded)
52%
Bnei Yehuda (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.32 · 111 matches

Bnei Yehuda away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.39 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon attack 1.41 + Bnei Yehuda defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.40

Bnei Yehuda attack 1.32 + Hapoel Ramat HaSharon defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon scores more
39%
level
26%
Bnei Yehuda scores more
35%

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Hapoel Ramat HaSharon will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Bnei Yehuda

Bnei Yehuda beat Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 3-1 in Liga Leumit on November 24, 2023.

The match was played at Yankele Grundman Stadium in Ramat-ha’Sharon.