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Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Bnei Yehuda — Liga Leumit 2019

Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Ramat Gan
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
4/27/2026Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Promotion Group - 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Hapoel Ramat Gan43%
×Draw26%
Bnei Yehuda32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.46
Bnei Yehuda
1.22

Hapoel Ramat Gan creates 20% more chances

Season form · 130 home / 94 away

creates per match

Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.52
Bnei Yehuda
1.32

allows per match

Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Yehuda
1.39

finishing

Hapoel Ramat Gan+0.00on par
Bnei Yehuda+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hapoel Ramat Gan ↓

Bnei Yehuda →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw
68%
Hapoel Ramat Gan or Bnei Yehuda
74%
Draw or Bnei Yehuda
57%

Winning margin

Hapoel Ramat Gan wins by 2+
21%
Bnei Yehuda wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Hapoel Ramat Gan 1+ goals
77%
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2+ goals
43%
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3+ goals
18%
Bnei Yehuda 1+ goals
70%
Bnei Yehuda 2+ goals
34%
Bnei Yehuda 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Hapoel Ramat Gan (draw refunded)
57%
Bnei Yehuda (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hapoel Ramat Gan at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.11 · 130 matches

Bnei Yehuda away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.39 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hapoel Ramat Gan attack 1.52 + Bnei Yehuda defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.46

Bnei Yehuda attack 1.32 + Hapoel Ramat Gan defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Hapoel Ramat Gan scores more
43%
level
26%
Bnei Yehuda scores more
32%

Hapoel Ramat Gan at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Hapoel Ramat Gan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga Leumit: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–1 Bnei Yehuda

Hapoel Ramat Gan and Bnei Yehuda drew 1-1 in Liga Leumit on April 27, 2026.