Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–1 Bnei Yehuda: Result & Stats

Hapoel Ramat Gan

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Bnei Yehuda

1/25/2024

State Cup · 8th RoundNational Stadium Ramat Gan

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Hapoel Ramat Gan27%

×Draw24%

Bnei Yehuda49%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hapoel Ramat GanExpected goals in this matchBnei Yehuda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

1.67

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.17

Bnei Yehuda

1.67

Bnei Yehuda creates 43% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

1.50

creates per match

1.50

1.83

allows per match

0.83

creates per match

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.50

Bnei Yehuda

1.50

allows per match

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1.83

Bnei Yehuda

0.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hapoel Ramat Gan+0.00on par

Bnei Yehuda+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hapoel Ramat Gan ↓

Bnei Yehuda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–110%

0–28%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–210%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

54%46%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Hapoel Ramat Gan or draw

51%

Hapoel Ramat Gan or Bnei Yehuda

76%

Draw or Bnei Yehuda

73%

Winning margin

Hapoel Ramat Gan wins by 2+

11%

Bnei Yehuda wins by 2+

26%

Team goals

Hapoel Ramat Gan 1+ goals

69%

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2+ goals

33%

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3+ goals

11%

Bnei Yehuda 1+ goals

81%

Bnei Yehuda 2+ goals

50%

Bnei Yehuda 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Hapoel Ramat Gan (draw refunded)

35%

Bnei Yehuda (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hapoel Ramat Gan at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Bnei Yehuda away — creates 1.50, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hapoel Ramat Gan attack 1.50 + Bnei Yehuda defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.17

Bnei Yehuda attack 1.50 + Hapoel Ramat Gan defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Hapoel Ramat Gan scores more

27%

level

24%

Bnei Yehuda scores more

49%

Bnei Yehuda at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Bnei Yehuda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

State Cup: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–1 Bnei Yehuda

Bnei Yehuda beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-0 in State Cup on January 25, 2024.

The match was played at National Stadium Ramat Gan in Ramat Gan.

Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Bnei Yehuda — State Cup 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

State Cup: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–1 Bnei Yehuda