Hannover 96 U19 2–0 Magdeburg U19: Result & Stats

Hannover 96 U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Magdeburg U19

A. Podrimaj 90+2'

E. Krasniqi 17'

10/16/2021

U19 Bundesliga · Nord / Nordost - 796 Das Stadion, Rasenplatz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

Hannover 96 U1953%

×Draw20%

Magdeburg U1928%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hannover 96 U19Expected goals in this matchMagdeburg U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.38

1.70

Hannover 96 U19

2.38

Magdeburg U19

1.70

Hannover 96 U19 creates 40% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 62 away

2.41

creates per match

2.02

1.38

allows per match

2.34

creates per match

Hannover 96 U19

2.41

Magdeburg U19

2.02

allows per match

Hannover 96 U19

1.38

Magdeburg U19

2.34

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hannover 96 U19+0.00on par

Magdeburg U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over77
Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes74
No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 U19 ↓

Magdeburg U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–04%

1–17%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

91%9%2.5

77%23%3.5

58%42%4.5

38%62%

Double chance

Hannover 96 U19 or draw

72%

Hannover 96 U19 or Magdeburg U19

80%

Draw or Magdeburg U19

47%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 U19 wins by 2+

32%

Magdeburg U19 wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Hannover 96 U19 1+ goals

91%

Hannover 96 U19 2+ goals

68%

Hannover 96 U19 3+ goals

42%

Magdeburg U19 1+ goals

82%

Magdeburg U19 2+ goals

51%

Magdeburg U19 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 U19 (draw refunded)

66%

Magdeburg U19 (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

67%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 U19 at home — creates 2.41, concedes 1.38 · 71 matches

Magdeburg U19 away — creates 2.02, concedes 2.34 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 U19 attack 2.41 + Magdeburg U19 defence 2.34 → ÷2 → 2.38

Magdeburg U19 attack 2.02 + Hannover 96 U19 defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Hannover 96 U19 scores more

53%

level

20%

Magdeburg U19 scores more

28%

Hannover 96 U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Hannover 96 U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'

E. Krasniqi

63'

J. Luyeye-Nkula← A. Becker

71'

G. Michalek← C. Noel Schulze

75'

O. Altin← M. Berg

82'

L. Dominke← E. Krasniqi

82'

C. Krüger← B. Engelhardt

90+1'

L. von Bötticher← L. Garlipp

90+2'

A. Podrimaj

Hannover

Magdeburg

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

▼

Krasniqi

Manager: S. Schmidt

63'▲J. Luyeye-Nkula←▼A. Becker

82'▲L. Dominke←▼E. Krasniqi

90+1'▲L. von Bötticher←▼L. Garlipp

Hannover 96 U19 substitutes

Luyeye-NkulaDominkeBötticherStählerSura

Manager: P. Sander

71'▲G. Michalek←▼C. Noel Schulze

75'▲O. Altin←▼M. Berg

82'▲C. Krüger←▼B. Engelhardt

Magdeburg U19 substitutes

MichalekAltinKrügerOikonomidisIsmailGräfWien

Match Recap: Hannover 96 U19 vs Magdeburg U19

Hannover 96 U19 beat Magdeburg U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on October 16, 2021.

Goals: E. Krasniqi (17'), A. Podrimaj (90+2').

The match was played at 96 Das Stadion, Rasenplatz in Hannover.

Hannover 96 U19 vs Magdeburg U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Hannover 96 U19 vs Magdeburg U19