Hannover 96 U19 2–0 Hallescher FC U19

Hannover 96 U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hallescher FC U19

A. Podrimaj 90+1'

N. Tresoldi 51'

10/27/2021

U19 Bundesliga · Nord / Nordost - 396 Das Stadion, Rasenplatz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Hannover 96 U1962%

×Draw19%

Hallescher FC U1919%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hannover 96 U19Expected goals in this matchHallescher FC U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.46

1.31

Hannover 96 U19

2.46

Hallescher FC U19

1.31

Hannover 96 U19 creates 88% more chances

Season form · 71 home / 37 away

2.41

creates per match

1.24

1.38

allows per match

2.51

creates per match

Hannover 96 U19

2.41

Hallescher FC U19

1.24

allows per match

Hannover 96 U19

1.38

Hallescher FC U19

2.51

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hannover 96 U19+0.00on par

Hallescher FC U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 U19 ↓

Hallescher FC U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–04%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Hannover 96 U19 or draw

81%

Hannover 96 U19 or Hallescher FC U19

81%

Draw or Hallescher FC U19

38%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 U19 wins by 2+

41%

Hallescher FC U19 wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Hannover 96 U19 1+ goals

91%

Hannover 96 U19 2+ goals

70%

Hannover 96 U19 3+ goals

44%

Hallescher FC U19 1+ goals

73%

Hallescher FC U19 2+ goals

38%

Hallescher FC U19 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 U19 (draw refunded)

76%

Hallescher FC U19 (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 U19 at home — creates 2.41, concedes 1.38 · 71 matches

Hallescher FC U19 away — creates 1.24, concedes 2.51 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 U19 attack 2.41 + Hallescher FC U19 defence 2.51 → ÷2 → 2.46

Hallescher FC U19 attack 1.24 + Hannover 96 U19 defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Hannover 96 U19 scores more

62%

level

19%

Hallescher FC U19 scores more

19%

Hannover 96 U19 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Hannover 96 U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

L. Vujanic← E. Ndukwe Oke

51'

N. Tresoldi

63'

M. Linse← T. Koch

72'

T. Koczulap← T. Bergmann

74'

K. Brandt← J. Luyeye-Nkula

77'

A. Sothen← R. Pessel

81'

M. Dammeier← E. Krasniqi

90+2'

L. Dominke← A. Becker

90'

L. von Bötticher← L. Garlipp

90+1'

A. Podrimaj

Hannover

Hallescher

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. Schmidt

74'▲K. Brandt←▼J. Luyeye-Nkula

81'▲M. Dammeier←▼E. Krasniqi

90+2'▲L. Dominke←▼A. Becker

90'▲L. von Bötticher←▼L. Garlipp

Hannover 96 U19 substitutes

BrandtDammeierDominkeBötticherSadikuDettmer

Manager: M. Buszkowiak

46'▲L. Vujanic←▼E. Ndukwe Oke

63'▲M. Linse←▼T. Koch

72'▲T. Koczulap←▼T. Bergmann

77'▲A. Sothen←▼R. Pessel

Hallescher FC U19 substitutes

VujanicLinseKoczulapSothenKambambaHalangkHaensch

Match Recap: Hannover 96 U19 vs Hallescher FC U19

Hannover 96 U19 beat Hallescher FC U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on October 27, 2021.

Goals: N. Tresoldi (51'), A. Podrimaj (90+1').

The match was played at 96 Das Stadion, Rasenplatz in Hannover.

Hannover 96 U19 vs Hallescher FC U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Hannover 96 U19 vs Hallescher FC U19