Scoreo

Hannover 96 II vs Borussia HildesheimFriendlies Clubs 2026

1/27/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Kunstrasenplatz Clausewitzstraße D-Platz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Hannover 96 II61%
×Draw17%
Borussia Hildesheim22%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hannover 96 II
2.88
Borussia Hildesheim
1.73

Hannover 96 II creates 66% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 5 away

creates per match

Hannover 96 II
3.75
Borussia Hildesheim
2.40

allows per match

Hannover 96 II
1.06
Borussia Hildesheim
2.00

finishing

Hannover 96 II+0.00on par
Borussia Hildesheim+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 II

Borussia Hildesheim
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
012%
022%
031%
040%
1
103%
115%
124%
133%
141%
2
204%
217%
226%
234%
242%
3
304%
317%
326%
334%
342%
4
403%
415%
424%
433%
441%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
67%33%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Hannover 96 II or draw
78%
Hannover 96 II or Borussia Hildesheim
83%
Draw or Borussia Hildesheim
39%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 II wins by 2+
41%
Borussia Hildesheim wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Hannover 96 II 1+ goals
94%
Hannover 96 II 2+ goals
78%
Hannover 96 II 3+ goals
54%
Borussia Hildesheim 1+ goals
82%
Borussia Hildesheim 2+ goals
52%
Borussia Hildesheim 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 II (draw refunded)
73%
Borussia Hildesheim (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 II at homecreates 3.75, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

Borussia Hildesheim awaycreates 2.40, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 II attack 3.75 + Borussia Hildesheim defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.88

Borussia Hildesheim attack 2.40 + Hannover 96 II defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Hannover 96 II scores more
61%
level
17%
Borussia Hildesheim scores more
22%

Hannover 96 II at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Hannover 96 II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hannover 96 II host Borussia Hildesheim

January 27, 2024: Hannover 96 II take on Borussia Hildesheim in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Hannover 96 II host Borussia Hildesheim at Kunstrasenplatz Clausewitzstraße D-Platz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.