Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hangzhou Greentown vs Dalian Zhixing — Super League 2026

Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown
Preview
12:00
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing
7/26/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 20Huizhou Olympic Stadium
48%
Hangzhou Greentown
model favours
48%23%29%

Both teams score in 100% of Dalian Zhixing’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

Hangzhou Greentown48%
×Draw23%
Dalian Zhixing29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hangzhou Greentown
1.76
Dalian Zhixing
1.33

Hangzhou Greentown creates 32% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 20 away

creates per match

Hangzhou Greentown
1.85
Dalian Zhixing
1.23

allows per match

Hangzhou Greentown
1.44
Dalian Zhixing
1.67

finishing

Hangzhou Greentown+0.27scores more
Dalian Zhixing-0.13scores less

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hangzhou Greentown ↓

Dalian Zhixing →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Hangzhou Greentown or draw
71%
Hangzhou Greentown or Dalian Zhixing
77%
Draw or Dalian Zhixing
52%

Winning margin

Hangzhou Greentown wins by 2+
26%
Dalian Zhixing wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Hangzhou Greentown 1+ goals
83%
Hangzhou Greentown 2+ goals
52%
Hangzhou Greentown 3+ goals
26%
Dalian Zhixing 1+ goals
74%
Dalian Zhixing 2+ goals
38%
Dalian Zhixing 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Hangzhou Greentown (draw refunded)
62%
Dalian Zhixing (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hangzhou Greentown at home — creates 1.85, concedes 1.44 · 25 matches

Dalian Zhixing away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.67 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hangzhou Greentown attack 1.85 + Dalian Zhixing defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.76

Dalian Zhixing attack 1.23 + Hangzhou Greentown defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Hangzhou Greentown scores more
48%
level
23%
Dalian Zhixing scores more
29%

Hangzhou Greentown at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Hangzhou Greentown will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 68% of Dalian Zhixing’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Hangzhou Greentown score first in only 29% of matches
  • Dalian Zhixing have scored in 8 games running
  • 52% of Hangzhou Greentown’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • 71% of Hangzhou Greentown’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Hangzhou Greentown win just 31% against the top half (vs 61% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Hangzhou Greentown
Attack-heavy
Dalian Zhixing
Balanced
54%Possession47%
83%Pass accuracy76%
15.1Shots13.2
1.64xGBiggest gap1.38
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Hangzhou GreentownDalian Zhixing

Head-to-head

3 previous meetings

0
Hangzhou Greentown
1
Draws
2
Dalian Zhixing
Avg goals: 2BTTS: 33%
0–30–11–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Greentown
DWLLD
Zhixing
DWWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Hangzhou Greentown host Dalian Zhixing

July 26, 2026: Hangzhou Greentown take on Dalian Zhixing in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Hangzhou Greentown host Dalian Zhixing at Huizhou Olympic Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.