Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hanau 93 vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf — Oberliga - Hessen 2020

Hanau 93
Hanau 93
FT
1 – 1
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
11/2/2024Oberliga - HessenOberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 18Sportplatz an der Kastanienallee

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 85+ matches

Hanau 9336%
×Draw23%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hanau 93
1.56
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.66

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 91 home / 85 away

creates per match

Hanau 93
1.77
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.60

allows per match

Hanau 93
1.71
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
1.36

finishing

Hanau 93+0.00on par
Eintracht Stadtallendorf+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hanau 93 ↓

Eintracht Stadtallendorf →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Hanau 93 or draw
60%
Hanau 93 or Eintracht Stadtallendorf
77%
Draw or Eintracht Stadtallendorf
64%

Winning margin

Hanau 93 wins by 2+
18%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Hanau 93 1+ goals
79%
Hanau 93 2+ goals
46%
Hanau 93 3+ goals
21%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 1+ goals
81%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 2+ goals
49%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Hanau 93 (draw refunded)
47%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hanau 93 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 1.71 · 91 matches

Eintracht Stadtallendorf away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.36 · 85 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hanau 93 attack 1.77 + Eintracht Stadtallendorf defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.56

Eintracht Stadtallendorf attack 1.60 + Hanau 93 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Hanau 93 scores more
36%
level
23%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf scores more
40%

Eintracht Stadtallendorf at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Eintracht Stadtallendorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Hessen: Hanau 93 1–1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf

Hanau 93 and Eintracht Stadtallendorf drew 1-1 in Oberliga - Hessen on November 2, 2024.

The match was played at Sportplatz an der Kastanienallee in Hanau.