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Hanácká vs Vysočina Jihlava — FNL 2019

Hanácká
Hanácká
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
10/25/2025FNLFNL · Round 14Stadium Kromeriz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Hanácká41%
×Draw26%
Vysočina Jihlava32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hanácká
1.38
Vysočina Jihlava
1.19

Hanácká creates 16% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 103 away

creates per match

Hanácká
1.07
Vysočina Jihlava
1.16

allows per match

Hanácká
1.23
Vysočina Jihlava
1.68

finishing

Hanácká+0.00on par
Vysočina Jihlava+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hanácká ↓

Vysočina Jihlava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Hanácká or draw
68%
Hanácká or Vysočina Jihlava
74%
Draw or Vysočina Jihlava
59%

Winning margin

Hanácká wins by 2+
19%
Vysočina Jihlava wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Hanácká 1+ goals
75%
Hanácká 2+ goals
40%
Hanácká 3+ goals
16%
Vysočina Jihlava 1+ goals
70%
Vysočina Jihlava 2+ goals
33%
Vysočina Jihlava 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Hanácká (draw refunded)
56%
Vysočina Jihlava (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hanácká at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.23 · 30 matches

Vysočina Jihlava away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.68 · 103 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hanácká attack 1.07 + Vysočina Jihlava defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.38

Vysočina Jihlava attack 1.16 + Hanácká defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Hanácká scores more
41%
level
26%
Vysočina Jihlava scores more
32%

Hanácká at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Hanácká will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FNL: Hanácká 0–0 Vysočina Jihlava

Hanácká and Vysočina Jihlava drew 0-0 in FNL on October 25, 2025.

The match was played at Stadium Kromeriz in Kromeriz.