HamKam U19 6–0 KFUM U19: Result & Stats

HamKam U19

FT

6 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

KFUM U19

3/15/2026

Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Group Stage - 6

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

HamKam U1965%

×Draw17%

KFUM U1919%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HamKam U19Expected goals in this matchKFUM U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.94

1.56

HamKam U19

2.94

KFUM U19

1.56

HamKam U19 creates 88% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 4 away

2.38

creates per match

1.00

2.13

allows per match

3.50

creates per match

HamKam U19

2.38

KFUM U19

1.00

allows per match

HamKam U19

2.13

KFUM U19

3.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

HamKam U19+0.00on par

KFUM U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over82
Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes75
No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

HamKam U19 ↓

KFUM U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–03%

1–15%

1–24%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–18%

3–26%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–04%

4–16%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

94%6%2.5

82%18%3.5

65%35%4.5

45%55%

Double chance

HamKam U19 or draw

81%

HamKam U19 or KFUM U19

83%

Draw or KFUM U19

35%

Winning margin

HamKam U19 wins by 2+

45%

KFUM U19 wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

HamKam U19 1+ goals

95%

HamKam U19 2+ goals

79%

HamKam U19 3+ goals

55%

KFUM U19 1+ goals

79%

KFUM U19 2+ goals

46%

KFUM U19 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

HamKam U19 (draw refunded)

78%

KFUM U19 (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

69%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

HamKam U19 at home — creates 2.38, concedes 2.13 · 16 matches

KFUM U19 away — creates 1.00, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

HamKam U19 attack 2.38 + KFUM U19 defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 2.94

KFUM U19 attack 1.00 + HamKam U19 defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

HamKam U19 scores more

65%

level

17%

KFUM U19 scores more

19%

HamKam U19 at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "HamKam U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff