Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
61%
Over
39%
Under
Both Score
63%
Yes
37%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Hamburger SV
xG 1.4 · xGA 1.47
+0.07 vs xG
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.55 · xGA 1.94
-0.2 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Oct 5, 2025, 3:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
- Referee
- Robert Hartmann (Germany)
- Venue
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Hamburger SV
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51954%
- Under 2.51646%
Both teams scored
- Yes2263%
- No1337%
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51851%
- Under 2.51749%
Both teams scored
- Yes2160%
- No1440%
Match Events
Hamburger SV substitutes
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Hamburger SV host FSV Mainz 05 on Sunday, 5 October 2025 at 15:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
Hamburger SV 4 – 0 FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV beat FSV Mainz 05 4-0 in Bundesliga on October 5, 2025.
Goals: A. S. Lokonga (6'), R. Philippe (10', 61'), J. Dompe (52').
FSV Mainz 05 controlled possession (65%) and registered 11 shots to 15.
The match was played at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg.