Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
50%
Over
50%
Under
Both Score
53%
Yes
47%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Hamburger SV
xG 1.4 · xGA 1.47
+0.07 vs xG
FC St. Pauli
xG 0.77 · xGA 1.71
-0.06 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli — Bundesliga 2026
Bundesliga·2026📍Volksparkstadion- Date
- Aug 29, 2025, 6:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2
- Referee
- Christian Dingert (Germany)
- Venue
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Hamburger SV
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51954%
- Under 2.51646%
Both teams scored
- Yes2263%
- No1337%
FC St. Pauli
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52456%
- Under 2.51944%
Both teams scored
- Yes2558%
- No1842%
Match Events
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Hamburger SV host FC St. Pauli on Friday, 29 August 2025 at 18:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli beat Hamburger SV 2-0 in Bundesliga on August 29, 2025.
Goals: A. Dzwigala (19'), A. Hountondji (60').
FC St. Pauli controlled possession (52%) and registered 17 shots to 5.
The match was played at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg.