Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
57%
Over
43%
Under
Both Score
60%
Yes
40%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Hamburger SV
xG 1.4 · xGA 1.47
+0.07 vs xG
Bayer Leverkusen
xG 1.41 · xGA 1.71
+0.35 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Mar 4, 2026, 7:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17
- Referee
- Sören Storks (Germany)
- Venue
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Hamburger SV
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51954%
- Under 2.51646%
Both teams scored
- Yes2263%
- No1337%
Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52550%
- Under 2.52550%
Both teams scored
- Yes2856%
- No2244%
Match Events
Hamburger SV substitutes
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Hamburger SV host Bayer Leverkusen on Wednesday, 4 March 2026 at 19:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen beat Hamburger SV 1-0 in Bundesliga on March 4, 2026.
Goals: C. Kofane (73').
Bayer Leverkusen controlled possession (63%) and registered 14 shots to 10.
The match was played at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg.