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Haman vs Pyeongchang United — K4 League 2026

Haman
Haman
Preview
10:00
Pyeongchang United
Pyeongchang United
8/29/2026K4 LeagueK4 League · Round 20
48%
Pyeongchang United
model favours
28%23%48%
1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Haman28%
×Draw23%
Pyeongchang United48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haman
1.31
Pyeongchang United
1.77

Pyeongchang United creates 35% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Haman
1.00
Pyeongchang United
1.25

allows per match

Haman
2.29
Pyeongchang United
1.63

finishing

Haman+0.00on par
Pyeongchang United+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haman ↓

Pyeongchang United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Haman or draw
52%
Haman or Pyeongchang United
77%
Draw or Pyeongchang United
72%

Winning margin

Haman wins by 2+
12%
Pyeongchang United wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Haman 1+ goals
73%
Haman 2+ goals
38%
Haman 3+ goals
14%
Pyeongchang United 1+ goals
83%
Pyeongchang United 2+ goals
53%
Pyeongchang United 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Haman (draw refunded)
37%
Pyeongchang United (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haman at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

Pyeongchang United away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haman attack 1.00 + Pyeongchang United defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.31

Pyeongchang United attack 1.25 + Haman defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Haman scores more
28%
level
23%
Pyeongchang United scores more
48%

Pyeongchang United at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Pyeongchang United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Haman
LDLLW
United
LLDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Haman vs Pyeongchang United — Match Preview

Haman face Pyeongchang United on August 29, 2026 in this K4 League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.