Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haman vs Gijang United — K4 League 2026

Haman
Haman
FT
2 – 1
Gijang United
Gijang United
3/15/2026K4 LeagueK4 League · Round 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Haman36%
×Draw24%
Gijang United40%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haman
1.50
Gijang United
1.59

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

creates per match

Haman
1.00
Gijang United
0.89

allows per match

Haman
2.29
Gijang United
2.00

finishing

Haman+0.00on par
Gijang United+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haman ↓

Gijang United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Haman or draw
60%
Haman or Gijang United
76%
Draw or Gijang United
64%

Winning margin

Haman wins by 2+
17%
Gijang United wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Haman 1+ goals
78%
Haman 2+ goals
44%
Haman 3+ goals
19%
Gijang United 1+ goals
80%
Gijang United 2+ goals
47%
Gijang United 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Haman (draw refunded)
47%
Gijang United (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haman at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

Gijang United away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haman attack 1.00 + Gijang United defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Gijang United attack 0.89 + Haman defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Haman scores more
36%
level
24%
Gijang United scores more
40%

Gijang United at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Gijang United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

K4 League: Haman 2–1 Gijang United

Haman beat Gijang United 2-1 in K4 League on March 15, 2026.