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Halmstad vs BK Hacken — Allsvenskan 2019

Halmstad
Halmstad
Preview
14:30
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
7/19/2026AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 13
Big match
39%
BK Hacken
model favours
33%27%39%

Halmstad score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Halmstad33%
×Draw27%
BK Hacken39%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Halmstad
1.16
BK Hacken
1.29

BK Hacken creates 11% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 111 away

creates per match

Halmstad
0.94
BK Hacken
1.40

allows per match

Halmstad
1.19
BK Hacken
1.37

finishing

Halmstad+0.00on par
BK Hacken+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Halmstad ↓

BK Hacken →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Halmstad or draw
61%
Halmstad or BK Hacken
73%
Draw or BK Hacken
67%

Winning margin

Halmstad wins by 2+
14%
BK Hacken wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Halmstad 1+ goals
69%
Halmstad 2+ goals
32%
Halmstad 3+ goals
11%
BK Hacken 1+ goals
72%
BK Hacken 2+ goals
37%
BK Hacken 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Halmstad (draw refunded)
46%
BK Hacken (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Halmstad at home — creates 0.94, concedes 1.19 · 67 matches

BK Hacken away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.37 · 111 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Halmstad attack 0.94 + BK Hacken defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.16

BK Hacken attack 1.40 + Halmstad defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Halmstad scores more
33%
level
27%
BK Hacken scores more
39%

BK Hacken at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "BK Hacken will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Style contrast — Halmstad play Direct / counter-attacking, BK Hacken Possession-dominant
  • Halmstad sit 16, BK Hacken 3 in the table
  • Halmstad fall short of their xG (0.7 vs 1.5 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Halmstad
Direct / counter-attacking
BK Hacken
Possession-dominant
38%PossessionBiggest gap58%
74%Pass accuracy86%
10.7Shots16.1
1.49xG1.65
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
HalmstadBK Hacken

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

4
Halmstad
1
Draws
5
BK Hacken
Avg goals: 3.3BTTS: 50%
0–40–01–41–02–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Halmstad
LLDDL
Hacken
LLLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Halmstad face BK Hacken (Allsvenskan)

Allsvenskan returns with Halmstad hosting BK Hacken. Match starts July 19, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.